July 11, 2015
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +44 |
Josh Samman overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Caio Magalhaes.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +87 |
Josh Samman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 156 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Josh Samman edged the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 37.5% accuracy. Josh Samman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 127 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Josh Samman edged out Caio Magalhaes on the ground with 1:10 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Josh Samman demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Josh Samman capitalized on this activity level, while Caio Magalhaes's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Josh Samman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caio Magalhaes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caio Magalhaes | Josh Samman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.