Caio Magalhaes vs Trevor Smith

November 7, 2014

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1132
(+39)
Caio Magalhaes
Winner: Caio Magalhaes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:31

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Caio Magalhaes+39
Trevor Smith-31
1003
(-31)
Trevor Smith

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +26Trevor Smith: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Total UFC Fights55
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1081 003
ELO Change+26-17
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +19Trevor Smith: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 061990
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +72Trevor Smith: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:310:31
Win Type ELO1 2411 013
ELO Change+72-27
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What Happened

Caio Magalhaes secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:31 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +81Trevor Smith: -81

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Significant Strikes Landed92
Significant Strikes Attempted145
Total Strikes Landed102
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 220927
ELO Change+81-81
💡

What Happened

Caio Magalhaes controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 2 significant strikes, 64.3% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Caio Magalhaes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +47Trevor Smith: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:030:00
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 1921 061
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +26Trevor Smith: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Days Since Last Fight204113
Activity ELO1 0941 043
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Caio Magalhaes demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Caio Magalhaes capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Smith's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +26Trevor Smith: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 081998
ELO Change+26-19
💡

What Happened

Caio Magalhaes extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Caio Magalhaes: +19Trevor Smith: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCaio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 061990
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.