December 6, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
David Abbott's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Abbott for the expected result. Had Cal Worsham pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +61 |
David Abbott earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Cal Worsham controlled the striking through superior accuracy (71.4% vs 44.4%). However, since Cal Worsham lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. David Abbott's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
David Abbott did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cal Worsham on the ground with 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +31 |
David Abbott demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, David Abbott capitalized on this activity level, while Cal Worsham's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
David Abbott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cal Worsham is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cal Worsham | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

