February 21, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Song Kenan's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Song Kenan for the expected result. Had Callan Potter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:20 | 2:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +56 |
Song Kenan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 863 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Song Kenan controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 7 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Song Kenan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Song Kenan demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Song Kenan capitalized on this activity level, while Callan Potter's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Song Kenan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Callan Potter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Callan Potter | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

