October 26, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Calvin Kattar's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Calvin Kattar for the expected result. Had Chris Fishgold pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -29 |
Calvin Kattar earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Calvin Kattar controlled the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Calvin Kattar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Calvin Kattar landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 072 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Calvin Kattar demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Calvin Kattar capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Fishgold's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Calvin Kattar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Fishgold is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Calvin Kattar | Chris Fishgold |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.