June 19, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jason Dent's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jason Dent for the expected result. Had Cameron Dollar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:46 | 4:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +85 |
Jason Dent earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 951 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Cameron Dollar controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (24 vs 14). However, since Cameron Dollar lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jason Dent's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 866 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Jason Dent edged out Cameron Dollar on the ground with 0:30 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 840 |
| Activity ELO | 976 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +21 |
Jason Dent demonstrated extended layoff with 840 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jason Dent capitalized on this activity level, while Cameron Dollar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Jason Dent started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cameron Dollar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cameron Dollar | Jason Dent |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.