March 22, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +38 |
Payton Talbott overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cameron Saaiman.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:21 | 0:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +100 |
Payton Talbott gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -148 | +148 |
Payton Talbott dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 33 total strikes, 79 vs 31 significant strikes, 61.2% vs 48.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Payton Talbott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 011 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Payton Talbott controlled Cameron Saaiman on the ground with 0:30 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +51 |
Payton Talbott demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Payton Talbott capitalized on this activity level, while Cameron Saaiman's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Payton Talbott extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cameron Saaiman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.