September 26, 2002
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Caol Uno's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Caol Uno for the expected result. Had Din Thomas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Caol Uno earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Caol Uno controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 59 total strikes, 35 vs 11 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 45.8% accuracy. Caol Uno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:13 | 3:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 116 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Caol Uno controlled Din Thomas on the ground with 0 takedowns, 9:13 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 091 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Caol Uno demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Caol Uno capitalized on this activity level, while Din Thomas's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Caol Uno extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Din Thomas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

