March 30, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:13 | 4:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +58 |
Gleison Tibau earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 883 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Gleison Tibau controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 6 significant strikes, 37.3% vs 21.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gleison Tibau capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Gleison Tibau controlled Caol Uno on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:29 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 130 | 158 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +21 |
Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 158 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Caol Uno's 130-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Gleison Tibau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caol Uno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Gleison Tibau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.