September 25, 2003
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +47 |
Hermes Franca overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Caol Uno.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +114 |
Hermes Franca gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Caol Uno controlled the striking through superior volume (52 vs 35 total strikes), significant strike advantage (32 vs 13). However, since Caol Uno lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Hermes Franca's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:41 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Hermes Franca landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Hermes Franca demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hermes Franca capitalized on this activity level, while Caol Uno's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 019 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Hermes Franca extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caol Uno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Hermes Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.