June 12, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Spencer Fisher's 3-fight experience advantage (11 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Caol Uno pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Spencer Fisher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 51 total strikes, 62 vs 24 significant strikes, 72.9% vs 51.1% accuracy. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:13 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Spencer Fisher did not secure a significant ground advantage against Caol Uno on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:06 of control time, 12 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 087 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Caol Uno's 2087-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Spencer Fisher extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caol Uno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caol Uno | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 993 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.