July 26, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jake Hadley's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Hadley for the expected result. Had Caolan Loughran pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Jake Hadley earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jake Hadley controlled the striking exchanges with 107 vs 68 total strikes, 81 vs 66 significant strikes, 52.6% vs 36.5% accuracy. Jake Hadley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:47 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 038 | 943 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jake Hadley did not secure a significant ground advantage against Caolan Loughran on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +61 |
Jake Hadley demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jake Hadley capitalized on this activity level, while Caolan Loughran's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Jake Hadley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caolan Loughran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.