Caolan Loughran vs Nathan Fletcher

Caolan Loughran's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Caolan Loughran for the expected result. Had Nathan Fletcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Caolan Loughran receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Nathan Fletcher controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (114 vs 65 total strikes), significant strike advantage (59 vs 30), superior accuracy (59.0% vs 35.7%). However, since Nathan Fletcher lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Caolan Loughran's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Caolan Loughran controlled Nathan Fletcher on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 5:58 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Caolan Loughran demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Caolan Loughran capitalized on this activity level, while Nathan Fletcher's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Caolan Loughran started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nathan Fletcher is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.