Caolan Loughran vs Taylor Lapilus

September 1, 2023

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

980
(-20)
Caolan Loughran
Winner: Taylor Lapilus
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Caolan Loughran-20
Taylor Lapilus+21
1097
(+21)
Taylor Lapilus

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -26Taylor Lapilus: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9741 084
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Taylor Lapilus for the expected result. Had Caolan Loughran pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -19Taylor Lapilus: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 059
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -27Taylor Lapilus: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9731 160
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -20Taylor Lapilus: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Significant Strikes Landed4884
Significant Strikes Attempted132163
Total Strikes Landed7087
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9801 159
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 48 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 36.4% accuracy. Taylor Lapilus capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -17Taylor Lapilus: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time6:260:18
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO9831 086
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus did not secure a significant ground advantage against Caolan Loughran on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:18 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -16Taylor Lapilus: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Days Since Last FightN/A2 555
Activity ELO9841 096
ELO Change-16+15
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus demonstrated extended layoff with 2555 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Taylor Lapilus capitalized on this activity level, while Caolan Loughran's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -18Taylor Lapilus: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 070
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Taylor Lapilus extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caolan Loughran is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Caolan Loughran: -19Taylor Lapilus: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCaolan LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 059
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.