September 1, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Taylor Lapilus's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Taylor Lapilus for the expected result. Had Caolan Loughran pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Taylor Lapilus earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 163 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Taylor Lapilus controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 48 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 36.4% accuracy. Taylor Lapilus capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:26 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Taylor Lapilus did not secure a significant ground advantage against Caolan Loughran on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:18 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 2 555 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +15 |
Taylor Lapilus demonstrated extended layoff with 2555 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Taylor Lapilus capitalized on this activity level, while Caolan Loughran's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Taylor Lapilus extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caolan Loughran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Caolan Loughran | Taylor Lapilus |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

