March 13, 2015
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +67 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Joanna Jedrzejczyk captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:17 | 4:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 020 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +89 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -100 | +100 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 6 total strikes, 53 vs 4 significant strikes, 50.5% vs 18.2% accuracy. Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 17 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 149 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Carla Esparza on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:28 of control time, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanna Jedrzejczyk capitalized on this activity level, while Carla Esparza's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carla Esparza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.