April 22, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Carla Esparza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Carla Esparza dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 56 total strikes. Carla Esparza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:35 | 2:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Carla Esparza controlled Juliana Lima on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:35 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -24 |
Carla Esparza demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Carla Esparza capitalized on this activity level, while Juliana Lima's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Carla Esparza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juliana Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Juliana Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.