June 24, 2017
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 056 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 098 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Carla Esparza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Carla Esparza dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 48 total strikes, 42.1% vs 31.9% accuracy. Carla Esparza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:23 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 227 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Carla Esparza controlled Maryna Moroz on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:23 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 323 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
Carla Esparza demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carla Esparza capitalized on this activity level, while Maryna Moroz's 323-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Carla Esparza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maryna Moroz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Maryna Moroz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.