December 11, 2014
UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -21 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Carla Esparza captured the UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:26 | 1:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -42 |
Carla Esparza earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Rose Namajunas was submitted.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Carla Esparza dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 29 total strikes, 42 vs 28 significant strikes. Carla Esparza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:02 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 187 | 813 |
| ELO Change | +187 | -187 |
Carla Esparza dominated Rose Namajunas on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 5:02 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Carla Esparza demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Carla Esparza capitalized on this activity level, while Rose Namajunas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Carla Esparza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rose Namajunas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Rose Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.