September 7, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Tatiana Suarez overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carla Esparza.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 033 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +77 |
Tatiana Suarez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 136 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Tatiana Suarez dominated the striking exchanges with 136 vs 12 total strikes, 82 vs 6 significant strikes, 83.7% vs 60.0% accuracy. Tatiana Suarez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 12:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 70 |
| Ground ELO | 1 096 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Tatiana Suarez dominated Carla Esparza on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 12:57 of control time, 70 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +52 |
Tatiana Suarez demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tatiana Suarez capitalized on this activity level, while Carla Esparza's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +26 |
Tatiana Suarez extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carla Esparza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carla Esparza | Tatiana Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.