March 15, 2025
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 092 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -44 |
Carli Judice earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 902 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Carli Judice controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Carli Judice capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Carli Judice demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Carli Judice capitalized on this activity level, while Yuneisy Duben's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Carli Judice started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yuneisy Duben is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carli Judice | Yuneisy Duben |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.