February 22, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +93 |
Dwight Grant earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 886 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Dwight Grant controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dwight Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 998 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Dwight Grant landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +69 |
Dwight Grant demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dwight Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Carlo Pedersoli Jr.'s 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Dwight Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlo Pedersoli Jr. is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Dwight Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.