Carlo Prater vs TJ Grant

May 14, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1002
(-31)
Carlo Prater
Winner: TJ Grant
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlo Prater-31
TJ Grant+32
1100
(+32)
TJ Grant

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -31TJ Grant: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Total UFC Fights28
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 0381 101
ELO Change-31+32
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Grant for the expected result. Had Carlo Prater pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -21TJ Grant: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0011 043
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -31TJ Grant: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0241 179
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -44TJ Grant: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Significant Strikes Landed2768
Significant Strikes Attempted61113
Total Strikes Landed33116
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9821 117
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 33 total strikes, 68 vs 27 significant strikes, 60.2% vs 44.3% accuracy. TJ Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -63TJ Grant: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted37
Ground Control Time0:356:54
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9611 176
ELO Change-63+63
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant dominated Carlo Prater on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:54 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -18TJ Grant: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Days Since Last Fight122227
Activity ELO1 0041 087
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant demonstrated standard activity with 227 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Carlo Prater's 122-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -21TJ Grant: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0041 056
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlo Prater is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlo Prater: -21TJ Grant: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlo PraterTJ Grant
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0011 043
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.