May 14, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
TJ Grant's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Grant for the expected result. Had Carlo Prater pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
TJ Grant earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
TJ Grant dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 33 total strikes, 68 vs 27 significant strikes, 60.2% vs 44.3% accuracy. TJ Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 6:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 961 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
TJ Grant dominated Carlo Prater on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:54 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 122 | 227 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
TJ Grant demonstrated standard activity with 227 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Carlo Prater's 122-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
TJ Grant extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlo Prater is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlo Prater | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

