November 4, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +65 |
Jake Hadley earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Carlos Candelario was submitted.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 148 | 169 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 877 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jake Hadley controlled the striking exchanges with 107 vs 69 total strikes, 90 vs 69 significant strikes. Jake Hadley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:39 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 880 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jake Hadley controlled Carlos Candelario on the ground with 0 takedowns, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Jake Hadley demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Hadley capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Candelario's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jake Hadley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Candelario is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Candelario | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.