October 2, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -12 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 253 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Carlos Condit earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 88 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 230 | 182 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 279 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Carlos Condit controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Carlos Condit capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 644 | 351 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -15 |
Carlos Condit demonstrated extended layoff with 644 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Carlos Condit capitalized on this activity level, while Court McGee's 351-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Carlos Condit started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Court McGee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Court McGee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.