November 16, 2012
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 169 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Georges St-Pierre's 12-fight experience advantage (19 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Carlos Condit pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 466 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +15 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 343 | 1 670 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 148 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 190 | 172 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 404 | 1 750 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Georges St-Pierre controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 36 significant strikes, 53.8% vs 24.3% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 14:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 45 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 791 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated Carlos Condit on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 14:57 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 568 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 487 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +5 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated extended layoff with 568 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Condit's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 10 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +36 |
Georges St-Pierre extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Carlos Condit is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.