Carlos Condit vs Jake Ellenberger

September 15, 2009

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1011
(+27)
Carlos Condit
Winner: Carlos Condit
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Condit+27
Jake Ellenberger-25
975
(-25)
Jake Ellenberger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +33Jake Ellenberger: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 011967
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +22Jake Ellenberger: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 005978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +11Jake Ellenberger: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 007989
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Carlos Condit receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +38Jake Ellenberger: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Significant Strikes Landed2728
Significant Strikes Attempted7059
Total Strikes Landed16855
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO1 026962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit dominated the striking exchanges with 168 vs 55 total strikes, 38.6% vs 47.5% accuracy. Carlos Condit capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +31Jake Ellenberger: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Takedowns Landed13
Takedowns Attempted24
Ground Control Time3:586:46
Ground Strikes Landed1912
Ground ELO1 004969
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jake Ellenberger on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:58 of control time, 19 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +38Jake Ellenberger: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Days Since Last Fight168N/A
Activity ELO1 025978
ELO Change+38-22
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Condit capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Ellenberger's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +24Jake Ellenberger: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 008978
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Ellenberger is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: +22Jake Ellenberger: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJake Ellenberger
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 005978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.