Carlos Condit vs Johny Hendricks

March 15, 2013

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1181
(-18)
Carlos Condit
Winner: Johny Hendricks
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Condit-18
Johny Hendricks+22
1373
(+22)
Johny Hendricks

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -19Johny Hendricks: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Total UFC Fights811
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1501 328
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

Johny Hendricks's 3-fight experience advantage (11 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Johny Hendricks for the expected result. Had Carlos Condit pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -16Johny Hendricks: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0761 185
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -17Johny Hendricks: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3261 596
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -12Johny Hendricks: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Significant Strikes Landed4230
Significant Strikes Attempted14571
Total Strikes Landed9469
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3921 579
ELO Change-12+12
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit controlled the striking through superior volume (94 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (42 vs 30), superior accuracy (29.0% vs 42.3%). However, since Carlos Condit lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Johny Hendricks's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -32Johny Hendricks: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Takedowns Landed012
Takedowns Attempted015
Ground Control Time0:248:01
Ground Strikes Landed65
Ground ELO1 1701 473
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks controlled Carlos Condit on the ground with 12 vs 0 takedowns, 8:01 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -11Johny Hendricks: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Days Since Last Fight119119
Activity ELO1 1501 370
ELO Change-11+27
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What Happened

Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Condit's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -15Johny Hendricks: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 1181 270
ELO Change-15+36
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What Happened

Johny Hendricks continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Carlos Condit's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -16Johny Hendricks: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditJohny Hendricks
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0691 184
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.