July 9, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 112 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +60 |
Max Griffin overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carlos Condit.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Max Griffin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 93 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 176 | 171 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Max Griffin controlled the striking exchanges with 95 vs 66 total strikes, 93 vs 63 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 35.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Max Griffin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Max Griffin landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +65 |
Max Griffin demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Condit's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Max Griffin extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Condit is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Max Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.