Carlos Condit vs Neil Magny

December 29, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1160
(-28)
Carlos Condit
Winner: Neil Magny
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Condit-28
Neil Magny+30
1276
(+30)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -29Neil Magny: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights1418
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 1371 227
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny's 4-fight experience advantage (18 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Carlos Condit pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -17Neil Magny: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0551 148
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -41Neil Magny: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3151 407
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -29Neil Magny: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed3732
Significant Strikes Attempted112114
Total Strikes Landed6464
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3371 255
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Carlos Condit controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (37 vs 32). However, since Carlos Condit lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Neil Magny's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -70Neil Magny: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed06
Takedowns Attempted09
Ground Control Time0:445:09
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 1181 365
ELO Change-70+70
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny dominated Carlos Condit on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 5:09 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -8Neil Magny: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight491113
Activity ELO1 1721 441
ELO Change-8+21
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Condit's 491-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -16Neil Magny: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1011 224
ELO Change-16+17
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Condit is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Condit: -17Neil Magny: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos ConditNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0431 141
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.