February 3, 2012
UFC Interim Welterweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -31 |
Carlos Condit overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nick Diaz.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 355 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Carlos Condit earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 151 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 320 | 246 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 159 | 117 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 412 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Carlos Condit controlled the striking exchanges with 159 vs 117 total strikes, 151 vs 105 significant strikes. Carlos Condit capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 209 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Carlos Condit did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nick Diaz on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Carlos Condit demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Condit capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Diaz's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 140 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -20 |
Carlos Condit continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Nick Diaz's now at 0.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.