March 14, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +53 |
Tyron Woodley overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carlos Condit.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:00 | 2:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 358 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +128 |
Tyron Woodley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 337 | 1 415 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Tyron Woodley controlled the striking exchanges with 48.3% vs 30.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 3:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Tyron Woodley edged out Carlos Condit on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:03 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 200 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +72 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Condit's 200-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 116 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
Tyron Woodley extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Condit is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Condit | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.