Carlos Eduardo Rocha vs Kris McCray

November 12, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1031
(+31)
Carlos Eduardo Rocha
Winner: Carlos Eduardo Rocha
Submission
Round 1 • 2:21

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Eduardo Rocha+31
Kris McCray-27
928
(-27)
Kris McCray

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +61Kris McCray: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 061918
ELO Change+61-61
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +20Kris McCray: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +65Kris McCray: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:212:21
Win Type ELO1 065921
ELO Change+65-37
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What Happened

Carlos Eduardo Rocha earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +20Kris McCray: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Significant Strikes Landed23
Significant Strikes Attempted48
Total Strikes Landed314
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 020957
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Kris McCray controlled the striking through superior accuracy (37.5% vs 50.0%). However, since Kris McCray lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Carlos Eduardo Rocha's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +21Kris McCray: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:241:29
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 021788
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Carlos Eduardo Rocha edged out Kris McCray on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +20Kris McCray: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Days Since Last FightN/A148
Activity ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Carlos Eduardo Rocha demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Carlos Eduardo Rocha capitalized on this activity level, while Kris McCray's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +22Kris McCray: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022959
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Carlos Eduardo Rocha started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris McCray is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Eduardo Rocha: +20Kris McCray: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.