June 7, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Mike Pierce's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Carlos Eduardo Rocha pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Mike Pierce earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 117 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Mike Pierce dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 38 total strikes, 32 vs 17 significant strikes, 62.7% vs 45.9% accuracy. Mike Pierce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 11:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Mike Pierce dominated Carlos Eduardo Rocha on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 11:20 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 489 | 125 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +27 |
Mike Pierce demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Eduardo Rocha's 489-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Mike Pierce started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Eduardo Rocha is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Eduardo Rocha | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

