June 11, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -27 |
Carlos Felipe overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Carlos Felipe receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 130 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 192 | 281 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Jake Collier controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (130 vs 94 total strikes), significant strike advantage (130 vs 94). However, since Jake Collier lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Carlos Felipe's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 003 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -19 |
Carlos Felipe demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Felipe capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Carlos Felipe extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.