October 2, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Carlos Felipe earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 177 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Carlos Felipe controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 113 total strikes, 78 vs 48 significant strikes. Carlos Felipe capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 3:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Carlos Felipe did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yorgan De Castro on the ground with 1:28 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -22 |
Carlos Felipe demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Carlos Felipe capitalized on this activity level, while Yorgan De Castro's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Carlos Felipe started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yorgan De Castro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Felipe | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.