June 16, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Carlos Hernandez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 233 | 170 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 108 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 000 | 898 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Carlos Hernandez controlled the striking exchanges with 108 vs 82 total strikes, 102 vs 76 significant strikes. Carlos Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Carlos Hernandez controlled Denys Bondar on the ground with 2 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 497 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Carlos Hernandez demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Denys Bondar's 497-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Carlos Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denys Bondar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Denys Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.