May 17, 2025
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 938 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
HyunSung Park overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carlos Hernandez.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:26 | 2:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +43 |
HyunSung Park earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 898 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
HyunSung Park edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 4 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 23.5% accuracy. HyunSung Park capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
HyunSung Park controlled Carlos Hernandez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 526 |
| Activity ELO | 1 017 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
HyunSung Park demonstrated extended layoff with 526 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, HyunSung Park capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Hernandez's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
HyunSung Park extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | HyunSung Park |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.