June 28, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 924 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Rei Tsuruya overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carlos Hernandez.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 947 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Rei Tsuruya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 886 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Rei Tsuruya controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 26 total strikes. Rei Tsuruya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:29 | 6:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 948 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Rei Tsuruya controlled Carlos Hernandez on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:19 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Rei Tsuruya demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rei Tsuruya capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Hernandez's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Rei Tsuruya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Rei Tsuruya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.