December 8, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:55 | 0:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +49 |
Tatsuro Taira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 911 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Tatsuro Taira controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 2 total strikes, 33 vs 2 significant strikes, 76.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tatsuro Taira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 3:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Tatsuro Taira controlled Carlos Hernandez on the ground with 3:36 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +27 |
Tatsuro Taira demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tatsuro Taira capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Hernandez's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +32 |
Tatsuro Taira continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Carlos Hernandez's now at 0.
| Metric | Carlos Hernandez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

