Carlos Hernandez vs Victor Altamirano

February 25, 2022

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(+26)
Carlos Hernandez
Winner: Carlos Hernandez
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Hernandez+26
Victor Altamirano-25
975
(-25)
Victor Altamirano

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +21Victor Altamirano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +21Victor Altamirano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +11Victor Altamirano: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 011990
ELO Change+11-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Carlos Hernandez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +22Victor Altamirano: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Significant Strikes Landed8479
Significant Strikes Attempted172138
Total Strikes Landed9092
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 022978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Carlos Hernandez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 84 vs 79 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 57.2% accuracy. Carlos Hernandez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +65Victor Altamirano: -65

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted94
Ground Control Time1:221:27
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 065935
ELO Change+65-65
💡

What Happened

Carlos Hernandez controlled Victor Altamirano on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:22 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +21Victor Altamirano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Carlos Hernandez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Carlos Hernandez capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Altamirano's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +23Victor Altamirano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Carlos Hernandez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Altamirano is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Hernandez: +21Victor Altamirano: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.