October 28, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Cody Durden's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Durden for the expected result. Had Carlos Mota pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 965 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Cody Durden earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Cody Durden edged the striking exchanges with 17 vs 12 significant strikes. Cody Durden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 12:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Cody Durden controlled Carlos Mota on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:32 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Cody Durden demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cody Durden capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Mota's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Cody Durden extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Mota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Mota | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.