January 30, 2004
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Renato Verissimo overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Carlos Newton.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 095 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Renato Verissimo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 888 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Renato Verissimo dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 19 total strikes, 22 vs 4 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 44.4% accuracy. Renato Verissimo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:31 | 9:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 992 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Renato Verissimo controlled Carlos Newton on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 9:27 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 435 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Renato Verissimo demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Renato Verissimo capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Newton's 435-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Renato Verissimo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Newton is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Newton | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.