June 7, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:47 | 4:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -45 |
Carlos Prates earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Charles Radtke controlled the striking through superior volume (33 vs 15 total strikes), superior accuracy (51.9% vs 41.7%). However, since Charles Radtke lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Carlos Prates's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -23 |
Carlos Prates demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Prates capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Radtke's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Carlos Prates extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Radtke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Charles Radtke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

