August 16, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 198 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -35 |
Carlos Prates overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Li Jingliang.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 340 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -67 |
Carlos Prates gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 403 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +221 | -221 |
Carlos Prates dominated the striking exchanges with 55 vs 41 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 36.9% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Carlos Prates capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 707 |
| Activity ELO | 1 165 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -27 |
Carlos Prates demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Carlos Prates capitalized on this activity level, while Li Jingliang's 707-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Carlos Prates extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Li Jingliang is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

