November 9, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 34 |
| Experience Gap | -30 | 30 |
| Experience ELO | 1 301 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -34 |
Carlos Prates overcame a 30-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 34 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:50 | 4:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 437 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -45 |
Carlos Prates earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 459 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Carlos Prates dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Carlos Prates capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:09 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 143 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Carlos Prates landed 2 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 266 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -34 |
Carlos Prates demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Carlos Prates capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 125 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -28 |
Carlos Prates extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.