February 9, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Carlos Prates overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Trevin Giles.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -52 |
Carlos Prates gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Trevin Giles controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (70 vs 38 total strikes), significant strike advantage (68 vs 37), superior accuracy (66.7% vs 51.4%). However, since Trevin Giles lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Carlos Prates's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Carlos Prates did not secure a significant ground advantage against Trevin Giles on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Carlos Prates demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Carlos Prates capitalized on this activity level, while Trevin Giles's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Carlos Prates started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevin Giles is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Prates | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

