May 12, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 105 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Carlos Ulberg's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Carlos Ulberg for the expected result. Had Ihor Potieria pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 279 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -33 |
Carlos Ulberg earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 287 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Carlos Ulberg controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 5 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Carlos Ulberg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Carlos Ulberg landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Carlos Ulberg demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Ulberg capitalized on this activity level, while Ihor Potieria's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Carlos Ulberg extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ihor Potieria is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Ihor Potieria |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.