March 22, 2025
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 294 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -37 |
Carlos Ulberg overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jan Blachowicz.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 149 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 602 | 1 587 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Carlos Ulberg earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 491 | 1 548 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Carlos Ulberg controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 59 significant strikes. Carlos Ulberg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 332 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 603 |
| Activity ELO | 1 296 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -29 |
Carlos Ulberg demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Carlos Ulberg capitalized on this activity level, while Jan Blachowicz's 603-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 295 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -22 |
Carlos Ulberg continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Jan Blachowicz's now at 0.
| Metric | Carlos Ulberg | Jan Blachowicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 144 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.