Carlos Vera vs Rinya Nakamura

February 16, 2024

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Carlos Vera
Winner: Rinya Nakamura
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Carlos Vera-27
Rinya Nakamura+29
1104
(+29)
Rinya Nakamura

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -27Rinya Nakamura: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9731 074
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rinya Nakamura for the expected result. Had Carlos Vera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -19Rinya Nakamura: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 057
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -27Rinya Nakamura: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9731 158
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -23Rinya Nakamura: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Significant Strikes Landed1238
Significant Strikes Attempted2570
Total Strikes Landed5573
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9771 182
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 12 significant strikes. Rinya Nakamura capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -62Rinya Nakamura: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:0013:03
Ground Strikes Landed530
Ground ELO9381 161
ELO Change-62+62
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura dominated Carlos Vera on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:03 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -18Rinya Nakamura: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Days Since Last FightN/A176
Activity ELO9821 074
ELO Change-18+32
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rinya Nakamura capitalized on this activity level, while Carlos Vera's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -18Rinya Nakamura: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 067
ELO Change-18+24
💡

What Happened

Rinya Nakamura extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlos Vera is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Carlos Vera: -19Rinya Nakamura: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCarlos VeraRinya Nakamura
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 057
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.