May 30, 2026
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jake Matthews's 16-fight experience advantage (24 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Carlston Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jake Matthews earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Jake Matthews dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 40 total strikes, 55 vs 27 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 36.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 9:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jake Matthews landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 504 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +16 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Carlston Harris's 504-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +17 |
Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Carlston Harris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Carlston Harris | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.